Sunday, May 17, 2020
The Probability of Rolling a Full House in Yahtzee
The game of Yahtzee involves the use of five standard dice. On each turn, players are given three rolls. After each roll, any number of dice may be kept with the goal being to obtain particular combinations of these dice. Every different kind of combination is worth a different amount of points. One of these types of combinations is called a full house. Like a full house in the game of poker, this combination includes three of a certain number along with a pair of a different number. Since Yahtzee involves the random rolling of dice, this game can be analyzed by using probability to determine how likely it is to roll a full house in a single roll. Assumptions We will begin by stating our assumptions. We assume that the dice used are fair and independent of one another. This means that we have a uniform sample space consisting of all possible rolls of the five dice. Although the game of Yahtzee allows three rolls, we will only consider the case that we obtain a full house in a single roll. Sample Space Since we are working with a uniform sample space, the calculation of our probability becomes a calculation of a couple of counting problems. The probability of a full house is the number of ways to roll a full house, divided by the number of outcomes in the sample space. The number of outcomes in the sample space is straightforward. Since there are five dice and each of these dice can have one of six different outcomes, the number of outcomes in the sample space is 6 x 6 x 6 x 6 x 6 65 7776. Number of Full Houses Next, we calculate the number of ways to roll a full house. This is a more difficult problem. In order to have a full house, we need three of one kind of dice, followed by a pair of a different type of dice. We will split this problem into two parts: What is the number of different types of full houses that could be rolled?What is the number of ways that a particular type of full house could be rolled? Once we know the number to each of these, we can multiply them together to give us the total number of full houses that can be rolled. We begin by looking at the number of different types of full houses that can be rolled. Any of the numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 or 6 could be used for the three of a kind. There are five remaining numbers for the pair. Thus there are 6 x 5 30 different types of full house combinations that can be rolled. For example, we could have 5, 5, 5, 2, 2 as one type of full house. Another type of full house would be 4, 4, 4, 1, 1. Another yet would be 1, 1, 4, 4, 4, which is different than the preceding full house because the roles of the fours and ones have been switched. Now we determine the different number of ways to roll a particular full house. For example, each of the following gives us the same full house of three fours and two ones: 4, 4, 4, 1, 14, 1, 4, 1, 41, 1, 4, 4, 41, 4, 4, 4, 14, 1, 4, 4, 1 We see that there are at least five ways to roll a particular full house. Are there others? Even if we keep listing other possibilities, how do we know that we have found all of them? The key to answering these questions is to realize that we are dealing with a counting problem and to determine what type of counting problem we are working with. There are five positions, and three of these must be filled with a four. The order in which we place our fours does not matter as long as the exact positions are filled. Once the position of the fours has been determined, the placement of the ones is automatic. For these reasons, we need to consider the combination of five positions taken three at a time. We use the combination formula to obtain C(5, 3 ) 5!/(3!2!) (5 x 4) / 2 10. This means that there are 10 different ways to roll a given full house. Putting all of this together, we have our number of full houses. There are 10 x 30 300 ways to obtain a full house in one roll. Probability Now the probability of a full house is a simple division calculation. Since there are 300 ways to roll a full house in a single roll and there are 7776 rolls of five dice possible, the probability of rolling a full house is 300/7776, which is close to 1/26 and 3.85%. This is 50 times more likely than rolling a Yahtzee in a single roll. Of course, it is very likely that the first roll is not a full house. If this is the case, then we are allowed two more rolls making a full house much more likely. The probability of this is much more complicated to determine because of all of the possible situations that would need to be considered.
Wednesday, May 6, 2020
Is Facebook Making Us Lonely - 1568 Words
ââ¬Å"Technology is a Convenience to the 21st Century.â⬠Social Networking in the 21st century is raising awareness and caused the society negatively when technologies came out. When a person gets home from school or work, the first thing the person did was logging in Facebook, Instagram, and other social network. Physical interactions compared to only talking behind a keyboard are much better ways to express ourselves. The article, ââ¬Å"Is Facebook Making Us Lonely?â⬠by Stephan Marche, he explained how the social network could affect loneliness at times. Marche believes that the social network can benefit people for their isolation who had never use media network. He studied the technology that can isolate us from the real world. The technologies can affect many ways through peoplesââ¬â¢ relationship in their families and friends. I disagree with Marche, because I believe people should limit on the technologies for their use knowledge and try to avoid being isolated. In this article, ââ¬Å"Is Facebook Making Us Lonely?â⬠Yvette Vickers was a former Playboy Playmate. She has a mysterious death. She was included in Marcheââ¬â¢s statement about that the technology could have benefit her isolation. She died by heart failure from fear of loneliness. Hugh Hefner said Vickers died without her immediate friends. Her neighbor discovered her dead body a year after she died. Vickers never made calls to her family or friends, but she just felt her fans were found through Internet sites. She did not haveShow MoreRelatedIs Facebook Making Us Lonely?1274 Words à |à 6 Pagesan author uses; all that it matters is how the author uses them to accomplish his or her goal of persuading the audience. For instance, in ââ¬Å"Is Facebook Making Us Lonely?â⬠by Stephen Marche, the purpose is to aware his audience from The Atlantic, magazine where it was first published, that technology and social media such as Facebook are making people lonely. Marcheâ⠬â¢s audience in this case is people with a high level of education most likely with a profession, and therefore, with high income. His medianRead MoreIs Facebook Making Us Lonely?1499 Words à |à 6 Pagesconnected us in unimaginable ways, and introduced us to a world much larger than our humble backyards. Nowadays, nearly everyone has a Facebook, an Instagram, or a Twitter account. Grandparents, teenagers, children, and even some pets are a part of one social network or another. While websites like Facebook are great for sharing pictures, stories, and interests, but they are also capable of raising awareness about important issues that may have been overlooked. Recently, the overuse of Facebook was thoughtRead MoreIs Facebook Making Us Lonely?911 Words à |à 4 Pageshumankind has been revolutionary in the arts of technology. The invention of the wheel in cavemen times to the iphone in today s world, human beings are always inventing new gadgets to help our society or destroy. For instance, since the breakthrough of Facebook millions of users have subscribed to this social media, with it comes with ââ¬Å"friendsâ⬠however most of them are strangers. It is important to realize society has been so engrossed in the social media and internet that there has been a lost of humanRead MoreIs Facebook Making Us Lonely?1236 Words à |à 5 PagesEnglish 151- RW October 11, 2015 Facebook and Loneliness Are people still feeling lonely even though they are connected online? Stephen Marche, in his article Is Facebook Making Us Lonely ?, explains the correlation between using Facebook and loneliness. Facebook has been used worldwide for a long time and it has always been an interesting topic to debate on. Some people argue that Facebook is harmful by isolating people from others around, and that using Facebook might make people less satisfiedRead MoreIs Facebook Making Us Lonely595 Words à |à 3 PagesSentence: The essay Stephen Marche wrote ââ¬Å"Is Facebook Making Us Lonelyâ⬠is talking about with the technology what the society looks like now, and social media like Facebook and twitter have made us more densely network than ever. Paragraph: In Stephen Marcheââ¬â¢s article, Facebook is a reason people are becoming move lonely and standard. The relationship between technology and lonelinessà isà strong.à According to the article people who spend their time on devices and social network sightsRead MoreIs Facebook Making Us Lonely?874 Words à |à 4 Pages In his article, ââ¬Å"Is Facebook Making Us Lonely?â⬠Stephen Marche argues that Facebook is the vital cause for loneliness and is luring people away from social capital. According to Marche, social networking isolates individuals and creates distance, mostly amongst family members. For some, it is not only isolation but rather social loneliness. The author claims that health can also be effected by loneliness. Nowadays, due to very little verbal person to person communication, he writes that peopleRead MoreIs Facebook Making Us Lonely?1522 Words à |à 7 PagesSocial media has connected us in ways we never imagined, and also introduced us to a world much larger than our humble backyards. Nowadays, nearly everyone has a Facebook, an Instagram, or a Twitter account. Grandparents, teenagers, children, and even some pets are a part of one social network or another. Websites like Facebook are great for sharing pictures, stories, and interests, but they are also capable of raising awareness about important issues that may have been overlooked before. RecentlyRead MoreIs Facebook Making Us Lonely?868 Words à |à 4 Pages ââ¬Å"Is Facebook Making Us Lonely?â⬠In the article ââ¬Å"Is Facebook Making Us Lonely?â⬠Stephen Marche discusses why social media, specifically Facebook is making people more lonely and that ââ¬Å"We have never been more detached from one another, or lonelier.â⬠Marche is stating that people who use Facebook a lot or people who interact mostly online are more lonely than people who interact face to face in person, which is proved by research. Marche is also stating with research, that Facebook, along with lonelinessRead MoreIs Facebook Making Us Lonely Analysis1428 Words à |à 6 Pagesin Marcheââ¬â¢s ââ¬Å"Is Facebook Making Us Lonelyâ⬠Social media, like Facebook and Twitter seems to be growing popular worldwide in the last few years. Have you found yourself or someone else in an awkward situation and instantly pull out your phone to scrawl through Facebook or Twitter just to keep from talking to someone in the elevator or doctorââ¬â¢s office? Is social media like Facebook and Twitter making us lonely human beings? One man, Stephen Marche, wrote ââ¬Å"Is Facebook Making Us Lonely,â⬠published inRead MoreIs Facebook Making Us Lonely By Stephen Marche1003 Words à |à 5 PagesIn the article, Is Facebook Making Us Lonely by Stephen Marche, the author claims that social media makes people become lonely. Marcheââ¬â¢s article conducted vast amounts of research to support his claim. He presented many strong points in his article about on people becoming lonely due to the effects of social media. Although this article presented data on his claim of the increasing number of people becoming isolated, this art icle shows irrelevant research the data doesnââ¬â¢t necessarily prove his
This Report Describes That with the Use of Data Analysis Tools
Question: Deferences Between Date Analysis Tools And Date Mining ? Answer: Introduction It's a true fact that nowadays, the world data means money. As the transition of many organizations and individuals to an application based world is growing, and there is an exponential development of data. Nevertheless, almost all data are unregulated and therefore, there is a need of processes and tools to extract such useful data from the information and modify it into usable and understandable form. Plenty of data analysis tools are accessible for data mining or for data analysis, using AI, machine learning as well as other methods to pass the data safely in the contemporary organizations (Bivand, 2014). On the other hand, as new technologies are used in organizations to gather, store, and use customers data are changing the usage of information. Therefore, some ethical dilemmas also arise while using the customers data as customers have delicate data which they do not want to share with anyone. The main ethical issue is the security of personal data or identity theft (Doganaksoy , Hahn, 2011). Methodology This study is divided into two parts, includingthe role of data analysis tools and the data mining in contemporary organizations. In the second part of this study, the ethical implications around storing, gathering, and using customers information are explained. Some of the most important data mining as well as data analysis tools in the areas of quality control, process control, safety, and reliability of customers data and information of contemporary organizations are also explained. For this study, various journals and articles on the utilization of data analysis tools in contemporary organizations are used. Findings The data analysis equipments and software programs are normally utilized to sort via corporation facts so that the organizations can perceive patterns and establish relationships with the customers. Just like the data or information mining, the data information analysis strategies and tools can assist virtually any business benefit extra perception into organizational, industry, and patron trends. Data analysis tools and enterprise intelligence platform combine all the capability of the query tools, reporting tools, as well as online analytical processing into a very single powerful solution with one usual interface so that the enterprise data analysts can simply perform evaluation, analyse the data, and spot business procedures in a brand new manner (Fairfield, Shtein, 2014). Data analysis tools make statistics or data the main part of the corporation's natural subculture by means of giving builders the top-quality design environments for automatic ad hoc and parameter-pushed repor ting, and offering absolutely potential way to receive and retrieve records in any layout and perform statistics evaluation using utility is the part of the each day working lifestyles. On the other hand, it has also been found out that the data mining is vital to businesses because it conveys a great potential to aid the agencies onto the removal of concealed extrapolative records from massive databases and make possible the awareness at the maximum critical statistics in their statistics warehouses. There are quite a few records mining gear and strategies reviewed through other literature within the discipline. A number of authors prefer to use data mining gears while others have the desire to discover it as information mining strategies, nonetheless in essence, its miles are equal and not differentiated a long way from any other. The maximum used things consist of the synthetic intelligence techniques, decision timber, and genetic set of rules, back propagation, rule induction te chniques, visualization, hybrid structures and artificial neural networks (Hu, 2013). Gathering Information: To create the client profiles, organizations should gather data about their clients. How organizations gather that data, notwithstanding, is a moral predicament, and organizations don't all concur where the moral limit lies. Utilizing Information: Most organizations utilize the accumulated data about their clients to refine and advertise the existing items and make new advancements. Utilizing the data for different purposes, notwithstanding, is a moral limit that many organizations ought not to cross. These incorporate giving precise and finished information as the information given is fundamental, and maintaining the commitment not to unveil or utilize the organizations information that they may have admittance to (Kung, 2015). Storing: The moral obligations that the organizations need to follow is that the organization should maintain the trust of the clients and just gather the fundamental information from clients, and appropriately ensure the safety of clients information by restricting the sharing of information, and amending blunders in the clients information (McCue, 2015). The moral duties of representatives are to abstain from perusing through information or clients records unless it is needed directly, not pitching the clients information to contenders, and not revealing their information to related gatherings. Clients likewise have the moral obligations identified with their sharing of information to organizations that they manage. Discussion As large information investigation instruments and procedures develop, associations confront extra difficulties yet can profit by their own encounters, supportive revelations by differnt clients and experts, and innovative enhancements. Huge information situations are turning into a friendlier place for examination due to overhauled stages and superior comprehension of information investigation apparatuses (Mikut, Reischl, 2011). Enormous information examination methods have been getting loads of consideration for what they can uncover about clients, advertise patterns, showcasing programs, hardware execution and different business elements. Tableau democratizes representation in an exquisitely straightforward and natural instrument. It is incredibly intense in business since it imparts the bits of knowledge through information visualization. Solver: Solver is an enhancement and straight programming device which exceeds expectations that enables you to set imperatives. Albeit propelled improvement might be more qualified for another programs, Solver will make the fast work on an extensive variety of issues. Information mining is currently getting acknowledged and its usage is far reaching as a result of the strong repayment it offers, for example, the precise qualifications of purchasing patterns and the exact portrayal of market fragments. Information mining is essential specifically for associations that want to create furnished and added available information to enhance the magnificence of basic leadership and increment basic upper hands. Information mining has given a ton of preferences to the associations (Perner, 2015). The advantages of association can be talked about in numerous angles, for example, adequacy, quality and the cost of utilizing information mining. In terms of adequacy, information mining clients can assess it by testing its quality, deciding the accuracy of the yield and exploring its clarifying force. Gathering customers data process organizations commonly gather information that relate either to a membership or to an exchange. The membership information is close to home things intentionally presented by shoppers either at the season of procurement or amid enrollment to utilize a specific administration, for instance, when purchasing something on the web or agreeing to accept another email account. The value-based information, then again, are inclinations and movement information caught over the span of the purchaser's utilization of an item or an administration. For instance, when obtaining books online, the vendor keeps a record of the things bought. Putting away often, organizations gather statistical data about clients, for example, their race and sexual orientation, to help them comprehend who is purchasing their items (Reineke, 2014). In any case, when organizations utilize that data to abuse clients or any single client for extra examination, concur that they have crossed a moral limit. For instance, various claims have been documented against inns, eateries and retail chains guaranteeing that the store workers have focused on clients for poor treatment due to their race. Complainants contend that they were compelled to prepay for dinners and blamed for shoplifting, subsequently because of an organization's racial-profiling rehearse (Su, Shao, Zou, 2010). Conclusion This study concludes that the rise of phenomenal new uses of clients data recently is the impact of the lift database innovation and similarly the productivity of mass showcasing is declining. The new advancements have massively affected the way of showcasing the items to clients. Information mining and information stockroom technique in associations is basic in acknowledging the upper hands through the powerful utilization of data. When organizations know their clients' needs, they can tailor their independent company to meet them. One of the most ideal approaches to comprehend organizations clients is by making the client profiles, or archives that rundown what sorts of individuals utilize or are probably going to utilize the customers item or administration. While client profiles can be a decent business instrument, they can likewise bring about moral issues. References Bhattacharya, S., Bhatnagar, V. (2012). Fuzzy data mining: a literature survey and classification framework.International Journal Of Networking And Virtual Organisations,11(3/4), 382. Bivand, R. (2014). Implementing Spatial Data Analysis Software Tools in R.Geographical Analysis,38(1), 23-40. Dean, M., Payne, D., Landry, B. (2016).Data mining: an ethical baseline for online privacy policies(1st ed.). Doganaksoy, N., Hahn, G. (2011). Data Mining: A Gateway to Better Data Gathering.Statistical Analysis And Data Mining,1(4), 280-283. Fairfield, J., Shtein, H. (2014). Big Data, Big Problems: Emerging Issues in the Ethics of Data Science and Journalism.Journal Of Mass Media Ethics,29(1), 38-51. Hu, W. (2013). Handheld Usage Data Mining for Handheld Data Protection.Contemporary Management Research,9(2), 93-108. Kung, S. (2015). Discriminant component analysis for privacy protection and visualization of big data.Multimedia Tools And Applications,76(3), 3999-4034. McCue, C. (2015).Data mining and predictive analysis(1st ed.). Mikut, R., Reischl, M. (2011). Data mining tools.Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Data Mining And Knowledge Discovery,1(5), 431-443. 0 Perner, P. (2015).Machine Learning and Data Mining in Pattern Recognition(1st ed.). Cham: Springer International Publishing. Reineke, A. (2014). Data Analysis Tools for DNA Microarrays.Biometrics,62(2), 632-632. Su, Q., Shao, P., Zou, T. (2010). CRBT customer churn prediction: can data mining techniques work?.International Journal Of Networking And Virtual Organisations,7(4), 353.
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